The survey shows that support for the political partnership nearly doubled, climbing from 22 per cent in May to 44 per cent by November.
The findings point to a significant shift in public sentiment toward an arrangement that initially sparked widespread controversy and resistance when it was first proposed.
At the same time, opposition to the broad-based government has steadily declined. TIFA data shows resistance peaked at 64 per cent in August before falling to 48 per cent in the most recent survey, marking the lowest level recorded across the three survey waves conducted this year.
According to analysts referenced in the report, early public opposition was strongly influenced by memories of violent demonstrations and the heavy-handed security response witnessed in June and July.
At the same time, opposition to the broad-based government has steadily declined. TIFA data shows resistance peaked at 64 per cent in August before falling to 48 per cent in the most recent survey, marking the lowest level recorded across the three survey waves conducted this year.
According to analysts referenced in the report, early public opposition was strongly influenced by memories of violent demonstrations and the heavy-handed security response witnessed in June and July.
Those events heightened public anxiety and contributed to widespread skepticism about political cooperation between former rivals.
However, as tensions eased and the framework of the broad-based government became clearer, attitudes began to shift.
However, as tensions eased and the framework of the broad-based government became clearer, attitudes began to shift.
Researchers say many Kenyans now view the arrangement less as a political compromise among elites and more as a mechanism for restoring stability and reducing prolonged political confrontation.
The nationwide poll covered nine regions: Central Rift, Coast, Lower Eastern, Mt Kenya, Nairobi, Northern, Nyanza, South Rift, and Western Kenya.
The nationwide poll covered nine regions: Central Rift, Coast, Lower Eastern, Mt Kenya, Nairobi, Northern, Nyanza, South Rift, and Western Kenya.
TIFA researchers conducted face-to-face, household-based interviews to capture grassroots opinions, with most conversations carried out in Kiswahili and English.
A total of 2,053 respondents were interviewed, giving the survey a margin of error of plus or minus 2.16 per cent.
A total of 2,053 respondents were interviewed, giving the survey a margin of error of plus or minus 2.16 per cent.
This sample size and methodology provide a strong level of statistical confidence in the findings, according to TIFA.
The timing of the survey is also significant. The interviews were conducted weeks before the death of Raila Odinga on October 15 while he was receiving medical treatment abroad.
The timing of the survey is also significant. The interviews were conducted weeks before the death of Raila Odinga on October 15 while he was receiving medical treatment abroad.
TIFA researchers noted that the rising approval of the broad-based government occurred even before Odinga’s passing, suggesting the trend reflects a broader shift in public attitudes rather than a sympathy-driven response.
The report indicates that as implementation of the broad-based government progressed, many Kenyans began to better understand its objectives and practical implications.
The report indicates that as implementation of the broad-based government progressed, many Kenyans began to better understand its objectives and practical implications.
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